第3章

类别:其他 作者:David Ricardo字数:8179更新时间:18/12/17 14:49:08
ThenecessitywhichtheBankfeltitselfundertoguardthesafetyofitsestablishment,therefore,alwaysprevented,beforetherestrictionfrompayinginspecie,atoolavishissueofpapermoney。 Thuswefindthat,foraperiodoftwenty-threeyearspreviouslytothesuspensionofcashpaymentsin1797,theaveragepriceofgoldbullionwas3l。17s。73/4d。peroz。about23/4d。underthemintprice;andforsixteenyearspreviouslyto1774,itneverwasmuchabove4l。peroz。Itshouldberememberedthatduringthesesixteenyearsourgoldcoinwasdebasedbywearing,anditisthereforeprobablethat4l。ofsuchdebasedmoneydidnotweighasmuchastheounceofgoldforwhichitwasexchanged。 DrA。Smithconsiderseverypermanentexcessofthemarketabovethemintpriceofgold,asreferribletothestateofthecoins。Whilethecoinwasofitsstandardweightandpurity,themarketpriceofgoldbullion,hethought,couldnotgreatlyexceedthemintprice。 MrThorntoncontendsthatthiscannotbetheonlycause。\"Wehave,\"hesays,\"latelyexperiencedfluctuationsinourexchanges,andcorrespondentvariationsinthemarket,comparedwiththemintpriceofgold,amountingtonolessthaneightortenpercent;thestateofourcoinagecontinuinginallrespectsthesame。\"MrThorntonshouldhavereflectedthatatthetimehewrote,speciecouldnotbedemandedattheBankinexchangefornotes;thatthiswasacauseforthedepreciationofthecurrencywhichDrSmithcouldneverhaveanticipated。IfMrThorntonhadprovedthattherehadbeenafluctuationoftenpercent。inthepriceofgold,whiletheBankpaidtheirnotesinspecie,andthecoinwasundebased,hewouldthenhaveconvictedDrSmithof\" havingtreatedthisimportantsubjectinadefectiveandunsatisfactorymanner。\"(6*) Butasallchecksagainsttheover-issuesoftheBankarenowremovedbytheactofparliament,whichrestrictsthemfrompayingtheirnotesinspecie,theyarenolongerboundby\"fearsforthesafetyoftheirestablishment,\"tolimitthequantityoftheirnotestothatsumwhichshallkeepthemofthesamevalueasthecoinwhichtheyrepresent。Accordinglywefindthatgoldbullionhasrisenfrom3l。17s。73/4d。theaveragepricepreviously1to1797,to4l。10s。andhasbeenlatelyashighas4l。13s。peroz。 Wemaythereforefairlyconcludethatthisdifferenceintherelativevalue,or,inotherwords,thatthisdepreciationintheactualvalueofbank-noteshasbeencausedbythetooabundantquantitywhichtheBankhassentintocirculation。Thesamecausewhichhasproducedadifferenceoffromfifteentotwentypercent。inbank-noteswhencomparedwithgoldbullion,mayincreaseittofiftypercent。Therecanbenolimittothedepreciationwhichmayarisefromaconstantlyincreasingquantityofpaper。 Thestimuluswhicharedundantcurrencygivestotheexportationofthecoinhasacquirednewforce,butcannot,asformerly,relieveitself。Wehavepapermoneyonlyincirculation,whichisnecessarilyconfinedtoourselves。Everyincreaseinitsquantitydegradesitbelowthevalueofgoldandsilverbullion,belowthevalueofthecurrenciesofothercounties。 Theeffectisthesameasthatwhichwouldhavebeenproducedfromclippingourcoins。 Ifone-fifthweretakenofffromeveryguinea,themarketpriceofgoldbullionwouldriseone-fifthabovethemintprice。 Forty-fourguineasandahalf(thenumberofguineasweighingapound,andthereforecalledthemintprice),wouldnolongerweighapound,thereforeafifthmorethanthatquantity,orabout56l。wouldbethepriceofapoundofgold,andthedifferencebetweenthemarketandthemintprice,between56l。 and46l。14s。6d。wouldmeasurethedepreciation。 Ifsuchdebasedcoinweretocontinuetobecalledbythenameofguineas,andifthevalueofgoldbullionandallothercommoditieswereratedinthedebasedcoin,aguineafreshfromthemintwouldbesaidtobeworth1l。5s。andthatsumwouldbegivenforitbytheillicittrader;butitwouldnotbethevalueofthenewguineawhichhadincreased,butthatofthedebasedguineaswhichhadfallen。Thiswouldimmediatelybeevident,ifaproclamationwereissued,prohibitingthedebasedguineasfrombeingcurrentbutbyweightatthemintpriceof3l。17s。10 1/2d。;thiswouldbeconstitutingthenewandheavyguineas,thestandardmeasureofvalue,inlieuoftheclippedanddebasedguineas。Thelatterwouldthenpassattheirtruevalue,andbecalled17or18shilling-pieces。Soifaproclamationtothesameeffectwerenowenforced,banknoteswouldnotbelesscurrent,butwouldpassonlyforthevalueofthegoldbullionwhichtheywouldpurchase。Aguineawouldthennolongerbesaidtobeworth1l。4s。butapoundnotewouldbecurrentonlyfor16or17 shillings。Atpresentgoldcoinisonlyacommodity,andbank-notesarethestandardmeasureofvalue,butinthatcasegoldcoinwouldbethatmeasure,andbank-noteswouldbethemarketablecommodity。 \"Itis,\"saysMrThornton,\"themaintenanceofourgeneralexchanges,or,inotherwords,itistheagreementofthemintpricewiththebullionpriceofgold,whichseemstobethetrueproofthatthecirculatingpaperisnotdepreciated。\"Whenthemotiveforexportinggoldoccurs,whiletheBankdonotpayinspecie,andgoldcannotthereforebeobtainedatitsmintprice,thesmallquantitythatcanbeprocuredwillbecollectedforexportation,andbank-noteswillbesoldatadiscountforgoldinproportiontotheirexcess。Insayinghoweverthatgoldisatahighprice,wearemistaken;itisnotgold,itispaperwhichhaschangeditsvalue。Compareanounceofgold,or3l。17s。10 1/2d。tocommodities,itbearsthesameproportiontothemwhichithasbeforedone;andifitdonot,itisreferribletoincreasedtaxation,ortosomeofthosecauseswhicharesoconstantlyoperatingonitsvalue。Butifwecomparethesubstituteofanounceofgold,3l。17s。101/2d。inbanknotes,withcommodities,weshallthendiscoverthedepreciationofthebank-notes。IneverymarketoftheworldIamobligedtopartwith4l。10s。inbank-notestopurchasethesamequantityofcommoditieswhichIcanobtainforthegoldthatisin3l。17s。 101/2d。ofcoin。 Itisoftenasserted,thataguineaisworthatHamburgh26 or28shillings;butweshouldbeverymuchdeceivedifweshouldthereforeconcludethataguineacouldbesoldatHamburghforasmuchsilverasiscontainedin26or28shillings。Beforethealterationintherelativevalueofgoldandsilver,aguineawouldnotsellatHamburghforasmuchsilvercoinasiscontainedin21standardshillings;itwillatthepresentmarketpricesellforasumofsilvercurrency,which,ifimportedandcarriedtoourminttobecoined,willproduceinourstandardsilvercoin21s。5d。(7*) Itisneverthelesstrue,thatthesamequantityofsilverwill,atHamburgh,purchaseabillpayableinLondon,inbanknotes,for26or28shillings。Cantherebeamoresatisfactoryproofofthedepreciationofourcirculatingmedium? Itissaid,that,iftheRestriction-billwerenotinforce,everyguineawouldleavethecountry。(8*) Thisis,nodoubt,true;butiftheBankweretodiminishthequantityoftheirnotesuntiltheyhadincreasedtheirvaluefifteenpercent。,therestrictionmightbesafelyremoved,astherewouldthenbenotemptationtoexportspecie。Howeverlongitmaybedeferred,howevergreatmaybethediscountontheirnotes,theBankcanneverresumetheirpaymentsinspecie,untiltheyfirstreducetheamountoftheirnotesincirculationtotheselimits。 Thelawisallowedbyallwritersonpoliticaleconomytobeauselessbarrieragainsttheexportationofguineas:itissoeasilyevaded,thatitisdoubtedwhetherithashadtheeffectofkeepingasingleguineamoreinEnglandthantherewouldhavebeenwithoutsuchlaw。MrLocke,SirJ。Stuart,DrA。Smith,LordLiverpool,andMrThornton,allagreeonthissubject。Thelattergentlemanobserves,\"ThatthestateoftheBritishlawunquestionablyservestodiscourageandlimit,thoughnoteffectuallytohinder,thatexportationofguineaswhichisencouragedbyanunfavourablebalanceoftrade,andperhapsscarcelylessensitwhentheprofitonexportationbecomesverygreat。\"Yetaftereveryguineathatcaninthepresentstateofthingsbeprocuredbytheillicittraderhasbeenmeltedandexported,hewillhesitatebeforeheopenlybuysguineaswithbank-notesatapremium,because,thoughconsiderableprofitmayattendsuchspeculation,hewilltherebyrenderhimselfanobjectofsuspicion。Hemaybewatched,andpreventedfromeffectinghisobject。Asthepenaltiesofthelawaresevere,andthetemptationtoinformersgreat,secrecyisessentialtohisoperations。Whenguineascanbeprocuredbymerelysendingabank-noteforthemtotheBank,thelawwillbeeasilyevaded; butwhenitisnecessarytocollectthemopenlyandfromawidelydiffusedcirculation,consistingalmostwhollyofpaper,theadvantageattendingitmustbeveryconsiderablebeforeanyonewillencountertheriskofbeingdetected。 WhenwereflectthatabovesixtymillionssterlinghavebeencoinedintoguineasduringhispresentMajesty\'sreign,wemayformsomeideaoftheextenttowhichtheexportationofgoldmusthavebeencarried-Butrepealthelawagainsttheexportationofguineas,permitthemtobeopenlysentoutofthecounty,andwhatcanpreventanounceofstandardgoldinguineasfromsellingatasgoodapriceforbank-notes,asanounceofPortuguezegoldcoin,orstandardgoldinbars,whenitisknowntobeequaltotheminfineness?Andifanounceofstandardgoldinguineaswouldsellinthemarket,asstandardbarsdonow,at4l。10s。peroz。,orastheyhavelatelydoneat4l。13s。peroz。,whatshopkeeperwouldsellhisgoodsatthesamepriceeitherforgoldorbank-notesindifferently?Ifthepriceofacoatwere3l。17s。101/2d。oranounceofgold,andifatthesametimeanounceofgoldwouldsellfor4l。13s。,isitconceivablethatitwouldbeamatterofindifferencetothetailorwhetherhewerepaidingoldorinbank-notes? Itisonlybecauseaguineawillnotpurchasemorethanapound-noteandashilling,thatmanyhesitatetoallowthatbank-notesareatadiscount。TheEdinburghReviewsupportsthesameopinion;butifmyreasoningbecorrect,Ihaveshewnsuchobjectionstobegroundless。 MrThorntonhastoldusthatanunfavourabletradewillaccountforanunfavourableexchange;butwehavealreadyseenthatanunfavourabletrade,ifsuchbeanaccurateterm,islimitedinitseffectsontheexchange。Thatlimitisprobablyfourorfivepercent。Thiswillnotaccountforadepreciationoffifteenortwentypercent。MoreoverMrThorntonhastoldus,andIentirelyagreewithhim,\"Thatitmaybelaiddownasageneraltruth,thatthecommercialexportsandimportsofastatenaturallyproportionthemselvesinsomedegreetoeachother,andthatthebalanceoftradethereforecannotcontinueforaverylongtimetobeeitherhighlyfavourableorhighlyunfavourabletoacounty。\"Nowthelowexchange,sofarfrombeingtemporary,existedbeforeMrThorntonwrotein1802,andhassincebeenprogressivelyincreasing,andisnowfromfifteentotwentypercent。againstus。MrThorntonmusttherefore,accordingtohisownprinciples,attributeittosomemorepermanentcausethananunfavourablebalanceoftrade,andwill,Idoubtnot,whateverhisopinionmayformerlyhavebeen,nowagreethatitistobeaccountedforonlybythedepreciationofthecirculatingmedium。 Itcan,Ithink,nolongerbedisputedthatbank-notesareatadiscount。Whilethepriceofgoldbullionis4l。10s。peroz。,orinotherwords,whileanymanwillconsenttogivethatwhichprofessestobeanobligationtopaynearlyanounce,andasixthofanounceofgold,foranounce,itcannotbecontendedthat4 l。10s。innotesand4l。10s。ingoldcoinareofthesamevalue。 Anounceofgoldiscoinedinto3l。17s。101/2d。;bypossessingthatsumthereforeIhaveanounceofgold,andwouldnotgive4l。10s。ingoldcoin,ornoteswhichIcouldimmediatelyexchangefor4l。10s。,foranounceofgold。 Itiscontrarytocommonsensetosupposethatsuchcouldbethemarketvalue,unlessthepricewereestimatedinadepreciatedmedium。 Ifthepriceofgoldwereestimatedinsilverindeed,thepricemightriseto4l。,5l。,or10l。anounce,anditwould,ofitself,benoproofofthedepreciationofpapercurrency,butofanalterationintherelativevalueofgoldandsilver。I have,however,Ithinkproved,thatsilverisnotthestandardmeasureofvalue,andthereforenotthemediuminwhichthevalueofgoldisestimated。Butifitwere;asanounceofgoldisonlyworthinthemarket151/2oz。ofsilver,andas151/2ouncesofsilverispreciselyequalinweight,andisthereforecoinedinto80shillings,anounceofgoldoughtnottosellformorethan4 l。 Thosethenwhomaintainthatsilveristhemeasureofvaluecannotprovethatanydemandforgoldwhichmayhavetakenplace,fromwhatevercauseitmayhaveproceeded,canhaveraiseditspriceabove4l。peroz。Allabovethatpricemust,ontheirownprinciples,becalledadepreciationinthevalueofbank-notes。 Itthereforefollows,thatifbank-notesbetherepresentativeofsilvercoin,thenanounceofgold,sellingasitnowdoesfor4 l。10s。sellsforanamountofnoteswhichrepresent171/2 ouncesofsilver,whereasinthebullionmarketitcanonlybeexchangedfor151/2ounces。FifteenouncesandahalfofsilverbullionarethereforeofequalvaluewithanengagementoftheBanktopaytobearerseventeenouncesandahalf。 Themarketpriceofsilverisatthepresenttime5s。91/2d。 peroz。estimatedinbank-notes,themintpricebeingonly5s。 2d。,consequentlythestandardsilverin100l。isworthmorethan112l。inbank-notes。 Butbank-notes,itmaybesaid,aretherepresentativesofourdebasedsilvercoin,andnotofourstandardsilver。Thisisnottrue,becausethelawwhichIhavealreadyquoteddeclaressilvertobealegaltenderforsumsonlynotexceeding25l。 exceptbyweight。IftheBankinsistedonpayingtheholderofabank-noteof1000l。insilvercoin,theywouldbeboundeithertogivehimstandardsilveroffullweight,ordebasedsilverofanequalvalue,withtheexceptionof25l。whichtheymightpayhimindebasedcoin。Butthe1000l。soconsistingof975l。puremoney,and25l。debased,isworthmorethan1112l。atthepresentmarketvalueofsilverbullion。 Itissaidthattheamountofbank-noteshasnotincreasedinagreaterproportionthantheaugmentationofourtraderequired,andthereforecannotbeexcessive。Thisassertionwouldbedifficulttoprove,andiftrue,noargumentbutwhatisdelusivecouldbefoundedonit。Inthefirstplace,thedailyimprovementswhichwearemakingintheartofeconomizingtheuseofcirculatingmedium,byimprovedmethodsofbanking,wouldrenderthesameamountofnotesexcessivenow,whichwerenecessaryforthesamestateofcommerceataformerperiod。 Secondly,thereisaconstantcompetitionbetweentheBankofEnglandandthecountry-bankstoestablishtheirnotes,totheexclusionofthoseoftheirrivals,ineverydistrictwherethecountrybanksareestablished。 Asthelatterhavemorethandoubledinnumberwithinveryfewyears,isitnotprobablethattheiractivitymayhavebeencrownedwithsuccess,indisplacingwiththeirownnotesmanyofthoseoftheBankofEngland? Ifthishavehappened,thesameamountofBankofEnglandnoteswouldnowbeexcessive;which,withalessextendedcommerce,wasbeforebarelysufficienttokeepourcurrencyonalevelwiththatofothercounties。Nojustconclusioncanthereforebedrawnfromtheactualamountofbank-notesincirculation,thoughthefact,ifexamined,would,Ihavenodoubt,befoundtobe,thattheincreaseintheamountofbanknotes,andthehighpriceofgold,haveusuallyaccompaniedeachother。 Itisdoubted,whethertwoorthreemillionsofBank-notes(thesumwhichtheBankissupposedtohaveaddedtothecirculation,overandabovetheamountwhichitwilleasilybear,)couldhavehadsucheffectsasareascribedtothem;butitshouldberecollected,thattheBankregulatetheamountofthecirculationofallthecountrybanks,anditisprobable,thatiftheBankincreasetheirissuesthreemillions,theyenablethecountrybankstoaddmorethanthreemillionstothegeneralcirculationofEngland。 Themoneyofaparticularcountyisdividedamongstitsdifferentprovincesbythesamerulesasthemoneyoftheworldisdividedamongstthedifferentnationsofwhichitiscomposed。 Eachdistrictwillretaininitscirculationsuchaproportionateshareofthecurrencyofthecountry,asitstrade,andconsequentlyitspayments,mayrequire,comparedtothetradeofthewhole;andnoincreasecantakeplaceinthecirculatingmediumofonedistrict,withoutbeinggenerallydiffused,orcallingforthaproportionablequantityineveryotherdistrict。 ItisthiswhichkeepsacountrybanknotealwaysofthesamevalueasaBankofEnglandnote。IfinLondon,whereBankofEnglandnotesonlyarecurrent,onemillionbeaddedtotheamountincirculation,thecurrencywillbecomecheapertherethanelsewhere,orgoodswillbecomedearer。Goodswill,therefore,besentfromthecountrytotheLondonmarket,tobesoldatthehighprices,orwhichismuchmoreprobable,thecountrybankswilltakeadvantageoftherelativedeficiencyinthecountrycurrency,andincreasetheamountoftheirnotesinthesameproportionastheBankofEnglandhaddone;priceswouldthenbegenerally,andnotpartiallyaffected。 Inthesamemanner,ifBankofEnglandnotesbediminishedonemillion,thecomparativevalueofthecurrencyofLondonwillbeincreased,andthepricesofgoodsdiminished。ABankofEnglandnotewillthenbemorevaluablethanacountrybanknote,becauseitwillbewantedtopurchasegoodsinthecheapmarket; andasthecountrybanksareobligedtogiveBankofEnglandnotesfortheirownwhendemanded,theywouldbecalleduponforthemtillthequantityofcountrypapershouldbereducedtothesameproportionwhichitbeforeboretotheLondonpaper,producingacorrespondingfallinthepricesofallgoodsforwhichitwasexchangeable。 Thecountrybankscouldneverincreasetheamountoftheirnotes,unlesstofilluparelativedeficiencyinthecountrycurrency,causedbytheincreasedissuesoftheBankofEngland。(9*)Iftheyattemptedit,thesamecheckwhichcompelledtheBankofEnglandtowithdrawpartoftheirnotesfromcirculationwhentheyusedtopaythemondemandinspecie,wouldobligethecountrybankstoadoptthesamecourse。Theirnoteswould,onaccountoftheincreasedquantity,berenderedoflessvaluethantheBankofEnglandnotes,inthesamemannerasBankofEnglandnoteswererenderedoflessvaluethantheguineaswhichtheyrepresented。TheywouldthereforebeexchangedforBankofEnglandnotesuntiltheywereofthesamevalue。